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Using spatially explicit, mechanistic vegetation models to study ecosystem stability, extreme events and invasion

Dr Wilfried Thuiller1 1Cnrs – Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble Cedex 9, France The development of spatial explicit and mechanistic models of vegetation allows to go a step beyond simple correlation analyses in our understanding of the processes by which biodiversity respond to climate and land use changes. Here, in few successive analyses, we developed and…

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Species redistribution and the future for the Arctic intertidal ecosystem

Dr Jakob Thyrring1,2, Professor Christopher Harley2, Dr Martin Blicher4, Dr Melody  Clarke1, Professor Lloyd Peck1, Dr Mikael Sejr3 1British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge , United Kingdom, 2University of British Columbia, Vancouver , Canada, 3Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark, 4Greenlands Institute of Natural Resources , Nuuk, Greenland Global warming occurs at elevated rates in the Arctic. Continued warming…

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Exploring global patterns of zoonotic dark diversity

Ms Sonia Tiedt1 1Imperial College, London, UK Over the last century, we have witnessed a dramatic rise in the emergence of zoonotic infectious diseases. Such events, especially when unexpected, can have devastating ramification for human and animal health, as well as economic and political stability. Geographic range shifts in particular have been responsible for some…

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Phenological shifts reshape expectations for distributional shifts in a montane avifauna

Dr Morgan Tingley1, Dr Jacob Socolar1, Dr Steven Beissinger2, Dr Peter Epanchin3 1University of Connecticut, Storrs, USA, 2University of California, Berkeley, USA, 3US Agency for International Development, Washington, USA Global change ecology predicts that, under a warming climate, consumers such as birds should shift their geographic distributions to track temperature and should adjust their breeding…

MARIS, the (Maasai Mara) rangelands information system for conservation in a changing world

Dr Bert Toxopeus1, Drs Luc Boerboom1, Dr Kees de Bie1, Drs Henk Kloosterman1, drs Robert Uhuru1, Dr John Mbaluka Kimeu2, Drs Peter Mwangi3 1University Of Twente, Groningen, Netherlands, 2National Museum of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya, 3Consultant, Nairobi, Kenya Due to climate change, the amount and frequency of rainfall becomes more unpredictable and extreme drought spells, less…

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Wherever I may roam – adapting international wildlife law to the effects of climate change on wolverines, jackals, cheetahs and other carnivores

A/Prof Arie Trouwborst1, Dr Andrew Blackmore2 1Tilburg University, Tilburg, Netherlands, 2Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife, , South Africa Predators occupy important but vulnerable positions in ecosystems and face a broad range of (often overlapping) scenarios as a consequence of climate change, including: shrinking and disrupted habitat (e.g., polar bear, wolverine); range shifts, both upslope (e.g., snow leopard)…

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Invasive native vines: risks and management gaps in Vietnam

Ms Truong Tuyet1 1Thai Nguyen University Of Agriculture And Forestry, Thai Nguyen, Vietnam, 2Murdoch University, Murdoch, Australia Invasive plants are a serious problem for global biodiversity. Infestations can lead to the extinction and endangerment of native species. Under global climate change and human disturbance, some native species have also become marauding invasive weeds. Recently, some…

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Physiology and competitive interactions influence modelled outcomes of climate change on a resident and a range-shifting species

Ms Samantha Twiname1, Dr Eva Plaganyi2, Dr Alistair Hobday3,4, Dr Quinn Fitzgibbon1, Professor Chris Carter1, Professor Gretta Pecl1,4 1Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Taroona, Australia, 2CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Brisbane, Australia, 3CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia, 4Centre for Marine Socioecology, Hobart, Australia Species redistribution’s are one of the most commonly documented changes in…

Explaining global bird migration from first principles and reconstructing its evolution over the last 50,000 years

Dr Marius Somveille1, Dr  Ana Rodrigues2, Prof Walter Jetz3, Prof Martin Wikelski4, Prof Andrea Manica5 1Birdlife International, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2CNRS Center for Functional and Evolutionary Ecology, Montpellier, France, 3Max Planck Yale Center for Biodiversity Movement and Global Change, Yale University, New Haven, United States, 4Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, Radolfzell, Germany, 5University of Cambridge,…