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Effects of climate change on a restored southern California salt marsh community

Dr Christine Whitcraft1, Anastasia Shippey1 1Csu Long Beach, Long Beach, United States Salt marshes provide many critical ecosystem functions, several of which are threatened by human activities such as urban development and climate change. One method for combatting this loss and degradation is restoration. Under current climate conditions, salt marsh communities are well-understood, and restoration…

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Using spatially explicit, mechanistic vegetation models to study ecosystem stability, extreme events and invasion

Dr Wilfried Thuiller1 1Cnrs – Univ. Grenoble Alpes, Grenoble Cedex 9, France The development of spatial explicit and mechanistic models of vegetation allows to go a step beyond simple correlation analyses in our understanding of the processes by which biodiversity respond to climate and land use changes. Here, in few successive analyses, we developed and…

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Species redistribution and the future for the Arctic intertidal ecosystem

Dr Jakob Thyrring1,2, Professor Christopher Harley2, Dr Martin Blicher4, Dr Melody  Clarke1, Professor Lloyd Peck1, Dr Mikael Sejr3 1British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge , United Kingdom, 2University of British Columbia, Vancouver , Canada, 3Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark, 4Greenlands Institute of Natural Resources , Nuuk, Greenland Global warming occurs at elevated rates in the Arctic. Continued warming…

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Vertical stratification influences global patterns of terrestrial biodiversity and their vulnerability to climate change

Dr Brett Scheffers1, Dr.  Brunno Oliveira1 1University Of Florida, Gainesville, United States Background – Species distributions in terrestrial ecosystems are three-dimensional, spanning both the horizontal landscape and the vertical space provided by the physical environment. Classical hypotheses suggest that communities become more vertically stratified with increasing species richness, owing to reduced competition or finer niche…

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Patterns and drivers of high-latitude reef communities along the tropical-to-temperate transition

Dr Brigitte Sommer1,2, Dr Maria Beger3, Prof John M Pandolfi2,4 1School of Life and Environmental Sciences, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, Australia, 2School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia, 3University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, 4ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia Biogeographic…

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End-of-century habitat model forecasts suggest potential redistributions of marine predators in the Southern Ocean

Dr Ryan Reisinger1, Dr Stuart Corney2,3, Dr Ben Raymond4,2,3, Prof. Mark Hindell2,3, Dr Pierre Pistorius5 1Centre d’Etudes Biologiques de Chizé, UMR 7372 du CNRS-Université de La Rochelle, Villiers-en-Bois, France, 2Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, 3Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, 4Australian Antarctic Division,…

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Shifting daylength regimes associated with range shifts alter aphid-parasitoid community dynamics

Miss Rachel Kehoe1, Mr David Cruse1, Dr Dirk Sanders1, Prof Kevin Gaston1, Dr Frank van Veen1 1University Of Exeter, Halvasso, United Kingdom With climate change leading to poleward range expansion of species, populations are exposed to new daylength regimes along latitudinal gradients. Daylength is a major factor affecting insect life cycles and activity patterns, so…

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Alternative climate drivers of local species richness, colonization, and extirpation in marine fishes

Ms Zoë Kitchel1, Mr Malin Pinsky1 1Rutgers University, New Brunswick, United States Changes in climate lead to redistributions of organisms across the globe. Because temperature drives physiological processes such as metabolism and growth, in response to changing temperature organisms adjust location, adapt, or become extinct. In terrestrial systems, geographic barriers, restricted dispersal, and abundant refugia…

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Spatio-temporal scaling of functional diversity change

Dr Marta Jarzyna1 1The Ohio State University, Columbus, United States Climate change is an intrinsically non-stationary phenomenon in both space and time. To understand when such spatial and temporal non-stationarity is relevant to ecological systems, one must address the issue of spatio-temporal scale dependence of biodiversity change. Despite this realization, scaling—in terms of both space…

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Implications of environmental change on the distribution of imperilled species

Dr Christine Howard1, Dr Curtis Flather2, Dr Philip Stephens1 1Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom, 2USDA Forest Service, Fort Collins, United States In this era of rapid environmental change, identifying where biodiversity is at greatest risk and the processes influencing that risk, are key challenges for conservation biology. Concentrations of threatened species may occur where threatening…