Forecast Verification for Applications in Ecology

Anna K.  Miesner2, Dr Mark R. Payne1 1Technical University Of Denmark (DTU), Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark, 2Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht, Centre for Materials and Coastal Research, Geesthacht, Germany While ecological forecasting is still a field in its infancy, meterologists have been thinking about how to check the validity of their forecasts for more than 50 years. We have…

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Marine Ecological Climate Services: user-driven forecasts of life in the Ocean

Dr Mark Payne1 1Technical University Of Denmark (DTU), Kgs. Lyngby, Denmark A unique but rarely appreciated characteristic of the Ocean is its high predictability: today it is possible to reliably forecast the physical state of the Ocean months, years and even a decade or more into the future. If these physical forecasts can be translated…

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Autonomous adaptation to climate-driven changes in species distribution in a global marine hotspot

Christine Crawford1, Hannah Fogarty1,2, Stewart Frusher2, Alistair J  Hobday2,4, Sarah Jennings2,3, John Keane1, Emma Lee2,5, Catriona MacLeod1,2, Craig Mundy1, Emily Ogier1,2, Prof Gretta Pecl, Jemima  Stuart-Smith1, Sean Tracey1, Ingrid van Putten4 1Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Sandy Bay, Australia, 2Centre for Marine Socioecology, Sandy Bay, Australia, 3Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, Sandy Bay,…

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Assessing risks of climate-driven range shifts through the lens of invasion biology

Dr Toni Lyn Morelli1,2, Piper Wallingford3, Jenica Allen4, Evelyn Beaury2, Dana Blumenthal5, Bethany Bradley2, Jeffrey Dukes6, Regan Early7, Emily Fusco2, Deborah Goldberg8, Inés Ibáñez8, Brittany Laginhas2, Valerie Pasquarella9, Montserrat Vilà10, Raj Whitlock11, Cascade Sorte3 1US Geological Survey, Hadley, United States, 2University of Massachusetts, Hadley, United States, 3University of California, Irvine, United States, 4University of New…

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Integrating physiology, behavior and life history to understand impacts of ocean warming on key marine species

Miss Patricia Peinado1, Dr Quinn Fitgibbon1, Dr Sean Tracey1, Dr Jayson  Semmens1, Dr Gretta  Pecl l1 1IMAS, University Of Tasmania , Sandy Bay, Australia Marine communities are likely to be particularly vulnerable to the climate-driven changes in the geographical distribution of species. Modification of species distributions can lead to new species interactions which could have…

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The success of terrestrial vertebrate conservation translocations worldwide: are we getting better at moving species?

Mr Shane D Morris1, Prof Chris N Johnson1, Dr Katherine E Moseby2, Prof Barry W Brook1 1University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, 2University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia Conservation translocation – the deliberate movement of an organism from one area to another to achieve a conservation benefit— has become increasingly important as an active response…

Effect of changes in intertidal foundation species on coastal geomorphological resistance

Dr Steven Pennings1, Dr. Zoe Hughes2, Dr. John Kominoski3, Rachael Glazner4, Anna Armitage4 1University Of Houston, Houston, United States, 2Boston University, Boston, United States, 3Florida International University, Miami, United States, 4Texas A&M University Galveston Campus, Galveston, United States Intertidal wetlands are dominated by a limited number of plant species that often function as foundation species,…

Adaptive governance for ecosystem: A case of mangrove forests in Sindh coastal region of Pakistan

Mr Muhammad Mumtaz1 1Getulio Vargas Foundation, Brazil, Sao Paulo, Brazil This study is conducted to understand the adaptation strategies to preserve ecosystem by looking the case of mangrove forests in Sindh coastal region of Pakistan.  The Sindh coastal region is located in the southeastern part of the country and is about 350 km long. This…

Can ecosystem properties be maintained by range-shifting species? Insights from novel marine forests

Mr Albert Pessarrodona1, Dr Dan Smale2, Dr Andrew Foggo3, A/Prof Thomas Wernberg1 1University Of Western Australia, Perth, Australia, 2The Marine Biological Association of the UK, Plymouth, UK, 3University of Plymouth, Plymouth, UK Contemporary climate change is reorganizing the composition of ecological communities by inducing species migrations (range shifts), with migrant thermally-tolerant species often becoming competitively…

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The effect of habitat complexity on temperature preference in coral reef fish.

Ms Tiffany Nay1, Dr.  Andrew Hoey1, Dr. Jodie Rummer1, Prof. John Steffensen2, Dr. Jacob Johansen3 1ARC CoE Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Australia, 2University of Copenhagen, Helsingør, Denmark, 3New York University-Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates Global temperatures are becoming more extreme, posing a challenge to ectothermic species. Many ectotherms utilize thermoregulation…