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An integrative approach to modeling species distribution: combining correlative and mechanistic relationships to predict climate impacts on species

Mr Dan Crear1, Dr. Alistair Hobday2, Dr. Rob Latour1, Dr. Rich Brill1, Dr. Marjorie Friedrichs1, Dr. Pierre St. Laurent1, Dr. Kevin Weng1 1Virginia Institute Of Marine Science, College of William & Mary, Gloucester Point, United States, 2CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia Climate change has contributed to warming and hypoxia throughout coastal ecosystems, which may…

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Resolving range dynamics of an invasive plant species in the Swiss Alps

Chelsea Chisholm1, Tim Seipel2, Jörn  Pagel3, Frank Schurr3, Jake Alexander1 1University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland, 2Montana State University, Bozeman, USA, 3University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany Species invasions are a key driver of global change, but the dynamics of population spread remain poorly understood. As invasive species distributions are often in an expansion phase, it is…

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Monitoring marine megavertebrates as Essential Ocean Variables in the Global Ocean Observing System: Who, Why, How, and What Next for Implementation?

Prof Daniel Costa1, Dr. Samantha Simmons2, Dr Nic Bax3, Dr Patricia Miloslavich4, Dr Ward Appletans5, Dr. M. Andersen Garcia6, Dr. Albert Fischer7, Dr John Gunn4 1University of California, Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, United States, 2Marine Mammal Commission, Bethesda , USA, 3Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Hobart, Australia, 4IMAS, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia,…

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An analysis of birds colonising the United Kingdom: how well does climatic suitability predict current distributions?

Mr James Cranston1, Dr Regan Early1, Dr Nick Isaac2 1University Of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom, 2Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom Natural colonists – species which are establishing in novel areas outside their current range, which haven’t been introduced there by human action, transport or activities, are increasingly being described across the globe….

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Life below the ocean surface increasingly threatened by climate change

Mr Isaac Brito-Morales1,2, Dr David S. Schoeman3,4, Dr Jorge García Molinos5, Dr Michael T. Burrows6, Dr Carissa J Klein1, Dr Anthony J. Richardson2,7 1School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, The University Of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia, 2CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, BioSciences Precinct (QBP), St Lucia, Australia, 3School of Science and Engineering, University of the Sunshine…

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Pattern or Process: considering space, time, and the environment in species distribution models

Dr Stephanie Brodie1, Dr Gemma Carroll1, Dr James Thorson3, Ellen Willis-Norton1, Dr Steven Bograd2, Dr Elliott Hazen2, Dr Kirstin Holsman3, Dr Jameal Samhouri4, Dr Melissa Haltuch4, Dr Stan Kotwicki3, Dr Rebecca Selden5 1University Of California Santa Cruz, Monterey, United States, 2NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Centre, Monterey, United States, 3NOAA Alaska Fisheries Science Center, Seattle, United…

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Relationships between body condition and oceanographic habitat quality for a range-shifting pelagic fish from eastern Australia

Mr Curtis Champion1,2, Dr Alistair Hobday2, Dr Sean Tracey1, Professor Gretta Pecl1 1Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Forster, Australia, 2CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia Climate-driven shifts in species distributions are occurring rapidly within marine systems and are predicted to continue under climate change. Animal body condition is likely to be…

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Plankton as prevailing conditions: monitoring climate driven shifts in plankton communities as surveillance indicators for ecosystem based management

Mr Jacob Bedford1, Mr David  Johns2, Dr Abigail McQuatters-Gollop1 1Plymouth University, Plymouth, United Kingdom, 2Marine Biological Association, Plymouth, United Kingdom Although the evidence base for climate driven shifts in marine biodiversity is growing, how this information is formally incorporated into marine management and policy frameworks is as yet unclear. At the base of the marine…

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Predicting the current and future potential distributions of Cedrus atlantica Manetti in North Africa using MaxEnt

Mr Abdelkader BOUAHMED1, Mr Federico Vessella2, Mrs Fazia Krouchi1, Mr Bartolomeo Schirone2, Mr Arezki Derridj1 1Faculty of Biological and Agronomic Sciences, University Mouloud Mammeri of Tizi-Ouzou, , Algeria, 2DAFNE, Tuscia University, Viterbo, Italy   Species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely used in recent years for many purposes. We used such tools to predict the…

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Utilisation of different spawning environments by range-expanding gilthead seabream Sparus aurata

Miss Jen Lewis1,3, Dr Audrey Darnaude2, Dr Regan Early1, Dr Ewan Hunter3, Dr Frank van Veen1 1University Of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom, 2Center for MARine Biodiversity, Exploitation & Conservation, Montpellier, France, 3Centre for Environment Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, , UK Abstract: Understanding the dynamics of range expansion is necessary and important for the successful management…