Dynamic ocean management allows preconditioning for species movements and management responses under climate change

ByCourtney Glancy

(1) Alistair Hobday, Jason Hartog (1) CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Castray Esplanade, Hobart, TAS 7001 Alistair.Hobday@csiro.au Management of ocean spaces has tended to be based on static management approaches including fixed boundaries, despite recognition that the ocean has interannual variability on a range of time scales from daily to seasonal to decadal. An Australian example of…

Driving planetary adaptation using natural laboratories for climate change

ByCourtney Glancy

Gretta T Pecl (1,2), Elsa Gärtner (1), Stewart Frusher (1,2), Marcus Haward (1,2), Alistair Hobday (2,3), Eriko Hoshino (1,2), Sarah Jennings (2), Elvira Poloczanska (3) , Warwick Sauer (4), Jon Sumby (1) , Cecilia Villanueva (1,2),, Reg Watson (1,2) , Ingrid van Putten (2,3) (1) Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 49, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia, 7001 (2) Centre for Marine Socioecology,…

Climate change versus other signals influencing spatial and temporal variation in composition and structure of beetle assemblages along an altitudinal transect in southern Tasmania

ByCourtney Glancy

Lynne Forster (1)  and Simon Grove (2)  (1) University of Tasmania, Private Bag 98, Hobart, Tasmania, 7001, Lynette.Forster@utas.edu.au (2) Tasmanian Museum and Art Gallery, GPO Box 1164, Hobart, Tasmania, 7001, Simon.Grove@tmag.tas.gov.au Altitudinal shifts in the distribution and/or composition of species communities or assemblages are often portrayed as demonstrating early signals of climate change. Mountain-top assemblages are often suggested…

NicheMapR – a general system for mechanistic niche modelling

ByCourtney Glancy

Michael R. Kearney (1) , Warren P. Porter (2) (1) The University of Melbourne, School of BioSciences, Victoria, 3010 mrke@unimelb.edu.au (2) The University of Wisconsin, School of BioSciences, Victoria, 3010 mrke@unimelb.edu.au Mechanistic niche modelling involves the computation of heat, water and nutritional budgets of organisms as a function of their environments. Such models can be used to make…

From attribution to expectations of marine range shifts to anthropogenic climate change

ByCourtney Glancy

Elvira Poloczanska1, Christopher Brown2, Michael Burrows3, Jorge García Molinos4, Ove Hoegh-Guldberg5 Hans-Otto Pörtner6 (1) CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Queensland Biosciences Precinct, St Lucia, Qld 4067, Australia (2) Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith Univeristy, 170 Kessels Road, Nathan Qld 4111, Australia (3) Scottish Association for Marine Science, Oban, Argyll PA37 1QA, UK. (4) Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem…

Life on the move: effects of changing seasonal dynamics on migratory birds

ByCourtney Glancy

Kasper Thorup (1) (1)Center for Macroecology, Evolution and Climate; Natural History Museum of Denmark; University of Copenhagen; Universitetsparken 15, 2100 Copenhagen; Denmark. kthorup@snm.ku.dk, @Kasper_Thorup Regular long-distance migration in birds and many other animals is generally an adaptation to predictable seasonal changes of resources. How migrating birds adjust their migration to fit these changes is poorly…

Using biodiversity offset policies for climate-adaptive conservation

ByCourtney Glancy

Jan McDonald (1) Anita Foerster (2), Phillipa McCormack (3) (1) Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Tasmania 7053, jan.mcdonald@utas.edu.au (2) Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Tasmania 7053, anita.foerster@utas.edu.au (3) Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Tasmania 7053, phillipa.mccormack@utas.edu.au Biodiversity offset policies have become a major part of environmental impact assessment and development approval regimes in…

Drivers of invasive species success in a warming, below-ground world

ByCourtney Glancy

Charlene Janion-Scheepers (1) and Steven L. Chown (2) (1) Monash University, School of Biological Sciences, Clayton, VIC, 3800, Australia, Charlene.janionscheepers@monash.edu, @cjanion (2) Monash University, School of Biological Sciences, Clayton, VIC, 3800, Australia, steven.chown@monash.edu, @StevenChown1 Several studies have predicted that climate change will exacerbate the rates and impacts of biological invasions, yet only a handful of empirical…

Implications of climate change for the distribution of terrestrial vertebrates in Tasmania

ByCourtney Glancy

Nicholas Beeton (1), Jeremy VanDerWal (2) , Rebecca Harris (3), Chris Johnson (1) (1) School of Biological Sciences, University of Tasmania, Private Bag 55, Hobart TAS 7001, nick.beeton@utas.edu.au, @nicktheinsane (2) Centre for Tropical Biodiversity & Climate Change, James Cook University, Townsville QLD 4811, jeremy.vanderwal@jcu.edu.au (3) Antarctic Climate Ecosystems CRC, 20 Castray Esplanade, Battery Point TAS 7004,…

How important is evolutionary potential for predicting tree species range shifts?

ByCourtney Glancy

Romain Bertrand (1) , Léa David (2) , Robin Aguilée (3) (1) CNRS, Centre for Biodiversity Theory and Modeling (CBTM), Station d’écologie expérimentale du CNRS, 2 route du CNRS, FR-09200 Moulis, France, romain.bertrand@ecoex-moulis.cnrs.fr (2) Université de Toulouse, Laboratoire Evolution et Diversité Biologique (EDB, UMR 5174), 118 route de Narbonne, FR-31062 Toulouse, France, lea_david@outlook.fr (3) Université de Toulouse,…