Decision-making for assisted colonisation as a climate change adaptation strategy Risk attitude and decision-making in assisted colonisation

ByCourtney Glancy

Stefano Canessa (1) 1 Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, Regent’s Park, London, UK. E: science@canessas.com, T:@can_essay Assisted colonisation is a new and untested conservation technique, which means its potential outcomes are typically uncertain. This is not unusual for conservation, due to our incomplete knowledge of complex and variable natural systems. In some cases, there…

Informing ecosystem-based management of the range extending long-spined sea urchin using a structured decision making process

ByCourtney Glancy

Lucy M. Robinson (1) , Martin P. Marzloff (2), Sarah Jennings (3,4), Stewart Frusher (2,4), Sam Nicol (5), Gretta Pecl (2,4), Ingrid Van-Putten (4,6), Alistair Hobday (4,6), Marcus Haward (2,4), Sean Tracey (2) and Klaas Hartmann (2) 1 Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources, Hobart, Australia 2 Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University…

The role of decision science in assisted colonisation

ByCourtney Glancy

Hugh P. Possingham (1), Eve McDonald-Madden (2), Alienor Chauvenet (3), Nicola Mitchell (4) 1 ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions and Centre for Biodiversity Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, 4072, h.possingham@uq.edu.au, @HugePossum 2 ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions and School of Geography Planning and Environmental Management, The University of…

Poleward shifts of tropical butterflies due to climate change

ByCourtney Glancy

Hsueh-Yi Pan (1), Wen-Chen Chu (2), Yu-Chuan Chiu (2), Han-Tzu Hsu (2), Huai-Sheng Fang (2), I-Ching Chen (3) 1 Department of Life Sciences, National Cheng Kung University, No.1, University Road, Tainan City 701, Taiwan (R.O.C.) 2 Endemic Species Research Institute, 1, Ming-shen East Road, Chichi Township, Nantou County, 552, Taiwan (R.O.C) 3 Department of Life…

Determining climatic versus biotic range constraints using tree rings

ByCourtney Glancy

Leander D.L. Anderegg (1), Janneke Hille Ris Lambers (2) 1 Biology Department, Box 351800, University of Washington, Seattle 98195-1800, USA.  ldla@uw.edu, @leanderegg 2 Biology Department, Box 351800, University of Washington, Seattle 98195-1800, USA.  jhrl@uw.edu Accurate prediction of climatically-driven range shifts requires knowledge of the dominant forces constraining species ranges, because climatically controlled range boundaries will…

Species on the move in Antarctic terrestrial communities

ByCourtney Glancy

Sharon A. Robinson (1,2), Melinda J. Waterman (1,3), Diana H. King (1,4), Johanna D. Turnbull (1,5), Michael B. Ashcroft (1,6) Jessica Bramley-Alves (1,7), Ellen Ryan-Colton (1,8), Jane Wasley (9) 1Centre for Sustainable Ecosystem Solutions, Faculty of Science, Medicine and Health, University of Wollongong, NSW 2522, Australia, 2sharonr@uow.edu.au, @Antarcticmoss, 3melindaw@uow.edu.au , 4dhk442@uowmail.edu.au, 5johannat@uow.edu.au, 6ashcroft@uow.edu.au, 7jba605@gmail.com, 8ellen.ryan.colton@gmail.com 9Australian Antarctic…

Improving confidence in forecasts of climate-driven range shifts

ByCourtney Glancy

Damien A. Fordham1, Frédérik Saltré2 1 The Environment Institute and School of Biological Sciences, The University of Adelaide, SA, 5005, damien.fordham@adelaide.edu.au,@DamienFordham 2 The Environment Institute and School of Biological Sciences, The University of Adelaide, SA, 5005, frederik.saltre@adelaide.edu.au,@FredSaltre Species distribution models (SDMs) are the primary tools used to forecast shifts in geographical range limits and by…

Fine-grained paleoclimate surfaces as a key input to understanding and projecting patterns of biodiversity persistence under climate change

ByCourtney Glancy

Chris Ware (1), Tom Harwood (1), James Gilmore (1), Simon Ferrier (1) 1 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Land & Water, GPO Box 1700, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia *chris.ware@csiro.au Paleoclimatic stability has been shown to be fundamental in explaining patterns of biological persistence. Improving our understanding of paleoclimate-persistence relationships is critical to developing…

Predicting and mitigating future biodiversity loss using long-term ecological proxies

ByCourtney Glancy

Damien A. Fordham (1), H. Resit Akcakaya (2), John Alroy (3), Frédérik Saltre (1), Tom M. Wigley (1), Barry W. Brook (4) 1 The Environment Institute and School of Biological Sciences, The University of Adelaide, SA 5005, Australia 2Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York 11794, USA 3Department of Biological…

Adaptive capacity to ocean acidification along the distribution range of the southernmost South American sea urchin Loxechinus albus

ByCourtney Glancy

Juan Diego Gaitan-Espitia (1), Leonardo Bacigalupe (2) 1 The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research, CSIRO, Australia, Hobart, Tas, 7000, juandiego.gaitanespitia@csiro.au 2 Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile, 5090000, lbacigalupe@gmail.com Over the next century, global fisheries will face the combined threats of harvest pressure and climate change. All of these factors will affect the abundance, reproduction…