Predicting redistribution of tree species and communities under recent climatic change: Benchmarking temporal predictions from correlative and mechanistic models

Mr David Uribe1, A.Prof. Patricio Pliscoff2, Prof. Solomon Dobrowski3, A.Prof. Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita1, Prof. Brendan Wintle1 1The University Of Melbourne, School of Biosciences, Parkville, Australia, 2Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Departamento de Ecología & Instituto de Geografía, Santiago, Chile, 3University of Montana, Department of Forest Management, Missoula, United States of America Abstract: Reliable predictions of species…

ShinyBiomod: A new R application for modelling species distribution

Mr Ian Ondo1, Mr Samuel Pironon1 1Royal Botanic Gardens Kew, London, United Kingdom Abstract: Factors shaping species distribution vary in space and time and operate at different geographic scales. Understanding and anticipating changes in species ranges is a major challenge for biogeographers and conservation biologists, especially in the context of global change. Species Distribution Models…

Creating a Citizen Science Monitoring System/Network to Detect Species Range Shifts in the Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska

A/Prof Melissa Good1, Dr Lauren Divine2, Mr Aaron Poe3 1University of Alaska Fairbanks Alaska Sea Grant, Unalaska, United States, 2Ecosystem Conservation Office of the Aleut Community of St. Paul Island, St Paul Island, United States, 3Aleutian Bering Sea Islands LCC, Anchorage, United States Abstract: Alaska is experiencing among the most severe impacts of coastal environmental…

Predicting the potential distribution of Quercus afares Pomel in Algeria and Tunisia using MaxEnt

Mrs Keyssa Laidi1, Mr Abdelkader Bouahmed1, Mrs Fazia Krouchi1, Mr Federico Vessella2, Mr Bartolomeo Schirone2, Mr Arezki Derridj1 1Mouloud Mammeri University Of Tizi Ouzou, Algeria, , Algeria, 2DAFNE, Tuscia University, Viterbo, Italy Abstract: Quercus afares is an endemic tree species of Algeria and Tunisia, occupying a restricted areas where Mediterranean climate rules. It’s considered as…

Changes in spring arrival dates of Central-European bird species over the past 100 years

Mr László Bozó1, Mr Tibor Csörgő2 1Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, Budapest, Hungary, 2Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Anatomy, Cell- and Developmental Biology , Budapest, Hungary Abstract: Over the past decades, spring temperatures in temperate regions have increased, which resulted that birds arrive earlier in spring, and the distance between suitable…

Current status of marine non-indigenous species in the Western Pacific region

Dr Suchana Apple Chavanich1, Mr. Wenxi Zhu2 1Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand, 2UNESCO/IOC-WESTPAC, Bangkok, Thailand Abstract: UNESCO/IOC Sub-Commission for the Western Pacific (WESTPAC) project on the “Coastal Marine Biodiversity and Conservation” had organized regional workshops related to marine non-indigenous species (NIS), and published a report on current status of marine NIS in the Western Pacific region. …

Predicting the impact of climate change on the Near Eastern Fire salamander (Salamandra infraimmaculata)

Dr Valentina Rovelli1, Dr Nadav Pezaro1, Dr Ori Segev2, Dr.  Lior Blank3, Mr. Iftah Sinai1, Dr. Juha  Merilä4, Dr. Tamar  Krugman1, Dr. Arne Nolte5, Dr. Alan Templeton1, Dr. Leon Blaustein1 1University Of Haifa, Haifa, Israel, 2Technion –Israeli Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel, 3Agricoltural Research Organization (ARO) –VolcaniCenter, Rishon LeTsiyon, Israel, 4University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland,…

The effects of dispersal on projections of species distribution: a simulation approach

Paul Holloway1, Jennifer Miller2 1Department of Geography, University College Cork, Ireland, 2Department of Geography, University of Texas, United States Abstract: Species distribution models (SDMs) have become an important and widely applied research framework in biogeography, particularly in the context of investigating the effects of climate change on species’ distributions and ranges. Along with biotic and…

Range expansion of Far Eastern bird species in the Amur region, Russian Far East

Mr László Bozó1, Mr Wieland Heim2, Mr Tibor Csörgő3 1Eötvös Loránd University, Department of Systematic Zoology and Ecology, Budapest, Hungary, 2Münster University, Institute of Landscape Ecology, Münster, Germany, 3Department of Anatomy, Cell- and Developmental Biology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary Abstract: Speculations that the northward spread of southern bird species is due to climate change…

Poster Presentation: Coarse-resolution data overestimates species range shifts in response to climate change.

Dr Ilya Maclean, Miss Brittany Trew 1University Of Exeter, Penryn, United Kingdom Abstract: Over the last two decades bioclimate models have been widely used to predict distribution shifts in response to climate change. For many species, places with suitable climate are predicted to lie outside their current range, implying catastrophic consequences for life on earth….