Quantifying climate-smart management responses to shifting marine species distributions

Éva Plagányi (1), Ingrid van Putten (2), Laura Blamey (3), Doug S. Butterworth (4), William Robinson (5), Vivitskaia Tulloch (1,6) and Alistair J. Hobday (7) 1 CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Queensland BioSciences Precinct (QBP), St Lucia, Brisbane, Queensland, 4072, Eva.Plaganyi-lloyd@csiro.au 2 CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, GPO Box 1538, Hobart, Tasmania 7004,  Ingrid.vanPutten@csiro.au 3 University…

Safety margins for climate warming in a continental flora

Rachael Gallagher (1), Ian J. Wright (1), Mark Westoby (1) 1 Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2109 rachael.gallagher@mq.edu.au, @ecolo_gist How resilient are current communities to climate warming? We approach this fundamental question in global change biology using data for the entire higher-plant flora of Australia and a novel niche turnover metric…

Sensitivity of marine communities to climate change

Michael T. Burrows (1), Jorge García Molinos (1,2), Benjamin S. Halpern, B (3,4,5) , David S. Schoeman (6), Nova Mieszkowska (7), Stephen J. Hawkins (8), Martin Edwards (9,10), Elvira S. Poloczanska (11,12)   1 Department of Ecology, Scottish Association for Marine Science, Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, Argyll, PA37 1QA, Scotland, UK 2 Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem…

Sea-level rise and vertical range shifts

Megan I Saunders (1) 1 ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions & The Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, QLD, 4072, m.saunders1@uq.edu.au, @saunders_meg Sea-level change causes vertical range shifts of organisms occupying intertidal marine regions. Predicted sea-level rise of up to a meter or more by 2100 will cause a re-distribution of valuable…

Qualitative modelling towards ecosystem-­‐based management of climate-­‐driven species redistribution

Martin Pierre Marzloff (1), Jessica  Melbourne-­‐Thomas (2,3), Katell G. Hamon (4), Eriko Hoshino (1,5,) Sarah Jennings (5,6), Ingrid van Putten (6,7), Gretta T. Pecl (1,6) 1    Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies  (IMAS), Private Bag  129, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia,  Martin.Marzloff@utas.edu.au 2    Antarctic Climate and  Ecosystems Cooperative Research  Centre,  Private Bag  80,  Hobart  Tasmania  7001,  Australia 3 …

Incorporating ecological processes into biodiversity projections through metacommunity modelling

Karel Mokany (1), Alex Bush (2), Tom Harwood (3), David Westcott (4), Simon Ferrier (5) 1 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Karel.Mokany@csiro.au 2 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Alex.Bush@csiro.au 3 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Tom.Harwood@csiro.au 4 CSIRO Land & Water, Tropical Forest…

Bridging the gap between ecologists and modellers: the Biodiversity and Climate Change Virtual Laboratory (BCCVL)

Sarah  Richmond (1),    Chantal    Huijbers (2),    Hamish    Holewa (3),    Brendan    Mackey (4),    Willow    Hallgren (5)   1    Griffith    University,    Gold    Coast    Campus,    Parklands    Drive,    Southport,    QLD,    4222,    sarah.richmond@griffith.edu.au  2    Griffith    University,    Gold    Coast    Campus,    Parklands    Drive,    Southport,    QLD,    4222,    c.huijbers@griffith.edu.au 3    Griffith    University,    Gold    Coast    Campus,    Parklands    Drive,    Southport,    QLD,    4222,    hholewa@quadrant.edu.au 4    Griffith    University,  …

Ocean Acidification and Oceans Governance in the Anthropocene

Tim  Stephens (1) 1    Professor of International Law, ARC Future Fellow, Faculty of Law, University of Sydney, tim.stephens@sydney.edu.au Climate change and its marine environmental impacts has been the subject of global regulatory attention since 1992  when the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change was adopted. By     contrast, ocean acidification, the  other, more recently identified CO2…

Developing dynamic law and policy for conservation introductions under climate change

Phillipa McCormack (1), Professor Jan McDonald (2), Associate Professor Michael Lockwood (3), Louise Gilfedder (4) 1 Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, 7005, phillipa.mccormack@utas.edu.au, @PhilMack 2 Faculty of Law, University of Tasmania, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, 7005, jan.mcdonald@utas.edu.au 3 School of Land and Food, Sandy Bay, Tasmania, 7005, michael.lockwood@utas.edu.au 4 Sustainable Landscapes Branch,…

Fisheries range shifts: Governance challenges for international management?

Professor Marcus Haward (1) Institute  for    Marine    and    Antarctic    Studies,    University    of    Tasmania,    Private    Bag    129,    Hobart    TAS,    7001,    Marcus.Haward@utas.edu.au      Changes  in    climate,    leading    to    warming    in    the    ocean,    have    consequential    impacts    on    and    likely    changes    to    the    distributions    and    abundance    of    key    marine    species    including    fish.      In    addition    to    ecosystem    oriented  …