The dynamic biogeography of the Anthropocene: recent range-shifts in seaweeds

Sandra C. Straub (1) , Mads S. Thomsen (2), Thomas Wernberg (3) 1 UWA Oceans Institute and School of Plant Biology, The University of Western Australia, 39 Fairway, Crawley 6009, Western Australia, Sandra.straub@research.uwa.edu.au 2 Marine Ecology Research Group, School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, New Zealand, mads.solgaard.thomsen@gmail.com 3 UWA Oceans Institute…

Helping Biodiversity Adapt: Supporting climate adaptation planning using a community‐level modelling approach

Suzanne Prober (2), Kristen J Williams (1), Thomas D Harwood (3), Veronica AJ Doerr (4), Talia Jeanneret (5), Glenn Manion (6) and Simon Ferrier (7) 1 Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), PO Box 1600, ACT 2601, Australia 2 CSIRO, Private Bag 5, PO Wembley WA Australia 6913, Australia 3 CSIRO, PO Box 1600, ACT…

Integrating telemetry-derived data into spatial decision-making and prioritization frameworks

Jennifer McGowan (1), Alienor Chauvenet (2), Hugh Possingham (3) 1    Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, St  Lucia, QLD, 4072, @j_a_mcgowan 2    Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD, 4072, @AChauvenet 3    Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, The  University of  Queensland, St  Lucia,  QLD, 4072, @hugepossum Spatial planning…

Rethinking climate change sensitivity: Drivers of spatial variation in thermal safety margins

Scott Bennett (1,2,3) , Thomas Wernberg (1), Francois Dufois (4), Nuria Marba (3), Teresa Alcoverro (5), Bijo Arackal- Joy (1), Thibaut de Bettignies (1), Alexandra Campbell (6,7), Carlos Duarte (8), Dorte Krause-Jensen (9)   1 UWA Oceans Institute (M470) and School of Plant Biology, University of Western Australia, Crawley 6009 WA, Australia 2 Department of…

Quantifying climate-smart management responses to shifting marine species distributions

Éva Plagányi (1), Ingrid van Putten (2), Laura Blamey (3), Doug S. Butterworth (4), William Robinson (5), Vivitskaia Tulloch (1,6) and Alistair J. Hobday (7) 1 CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Queensland BioSciences Precinct (QBP), St Lucia, Brisbane, Queensland, 4072, Eva.Plaganyi-lloyd@csiro.au 2 CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, GPO Box 1538, Hobart, Tasmania 7004,  Ingrid.vanPutten@csiro.au 3 University…

Safety margins for climate warming in a continental flora

Rachael Gallagher (1), Ian J. Wright (1), Mark Westoby (1) 1 Department of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, NSW 2109 rachael.gallagher@mq.edu.au, @ecolo_gist How resilient are current communities to climate warming? We approach this fundamental question in global change biology using data for the entire higher-plant flora of Australia and a novel niche turnover metric…

Sensitivity of marine communities to climate change

Michael T. Burrows (1), Jorge García Molinos (1,2), Benjamin S. Halpern, B (3,4,5) , David S. Schoeman (6), Nova Mieszkowska (7), Stephen J. Hawkins (8), Martin Edwards (9,10), Elvira S. Poloczanska (11,12)   1 Department of Ecology, Scottish Association for Marine Science, Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, Argyll, PA37 1QA, Scotland, UK 2 Center for Environmental Biology and Ecosystem…

Sea-level rise and vertical range shifts

Megan I Saunders (1) 1 ARC Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions & The Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, QLD, 4072, m.saunders1@uq.edu.au, @saunders_meg Sea-level change causes vertical range shifts of organisms occupying intertidal marine regions. Predicted sea-level rise of up to a meter or more by 2100 will cause a re-distribution of valuable…

Qualitative modelling towards ecosystem-­‐based management of climate-­‐driven species redistribution

Martin Pierre Marzloff (1), Jessica  Melbourne-­‐Thomas (2,3), Katell G. Hamon (4), Eriko Hoshino (1,5,) Sarah Jennings (5,6), Ingrid van Putten (6,7), Gretta T. Pecl (1,6) 1    Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies  (IMAS), Private Bag  129, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia,  Martin.Marzloff@utas.edu.au 2    Antarctic Climate and  Ecosystems Cooperative Research  Centre,  Private Bag  80,  Hobart  Tasmania  7001,  Australia 3 …

Incorporating ecological processes into biodiversity projections through metacommunity modelling

Karel Mokany (1), Alex Bush (2), Tom Harwood (3), David Westcott (4), Simon Ferrier (5) 1 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Karel.Mokany@csiro.au 2 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Alex.Bush@csiro.au 3 CSIRO Land & Water, PO Box 1700, ACT, 2601, Tom.Harwood@csiro.au 4 CSIRO Land & Water, Tropical Forest…